PITWALL
F1 RACE STRATEGY SIMULATOR ยท 2026
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โ† 2026 Season Results
ROUND
4

Miami Grand Prix

2026-05-03ยท57 laps

Kimi Antonelli claimed his third consecutive win of the season in a frenetic, incident-packed Miami Grand Prix. Chaos struck early as four cars retired within the first seven laps โ€” Hulkenberg, Lawson, and, within seconds of each other, Gasly and Hadjar. Lando Norris took the fight to Antonelli throughout, setting the fastest lap of the race, but could not find a way past, finishing 3.264 seconds behind with Oscar Piastri completing an all-Mercedes-McLaren podium lockout in third. George Russell took fourth, ahead of Max Verstappen โ€” who added a 5-second penalty for crossing the pit-exit white line โ€” and Lewis Hamilton. The race turned dramatic again for Ferrari: Charles Leclerc, running sixth on the road, was hit with a 20-second penalty (a drive-through converted post-race) for repeatedly leaving the track without justification, dropping him to eighth and promoting Franco Colapinto to seventh for Alpine.

Race Winner
Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes
Fastest Lap
1:31.869
Lando Norris
Conditions
โ˜€ Dry

Circuit Profile

Miami International Autodrome
Lap length
5.412 km
Race distance
57 laps ยท 308.5 km
Tyre allocation
H C3 ยท M C4 ยท S C5
Pit-lane loss (model)
โ‰ˆ 20 s
Tyre degradation
Medium
Overtaking
Moderate

Pit-lane loss, degradation and overtaking are PITWALL simulator inputs for this circuit, not official figures.

Miami International Autodrome circuit guide โ†’Run this circuit in the simulator โ†’

Qualifying

POSDriverQ1Q2Q3Grid
1Kimi Antonelli1:28.6531:28.2891:27.7981
2Max Verstappen1:29.0991:28.1161:27.9642
3Charles Leclerc1:28.9381:28.3151:28.1433
4Lando Norris1:29.1831:28.9201:28.1834
5George Russell1:29.4921:28.4771:28.1975
6Lewis Hamilton1:29.4831:28.4771:28.3196
7Oscar Piastri1:29.9201:28.3321:28.5007
8Franco Colapinto1:29.5841:28.9751:28.7628
9Pierre Gasly1:29.9141:29.0701:28.8109
10Nico Hulkenberg1:29.6451:29.439โ€”10
11Liam Lawson1:29.5951:29.499โ€”11
12Oliver Bearman1:29.3401:29.567โ€”12
13Carlos Sainz1:29.5401:29.568โ€”13
14Esteban Ocon1:29.8381:29.772โ€”14
15Alexander Albon1:29.7201:29.946โ€”15
16Arvid Lindblad1:30.133โ€”โ€”16
17Fernando Alonso1:31.098โ€”โ€”17
18Lance Stroll1:31.164โ€”โ€”18
19Valtteri Bottas1:31.629โ€”โ€”19
20Sergio Perez1:31.967โ€”โ€”20
21Gabriel Bortoleto1:33.737โ€”โ€”21
22Isack Hadjarโ€”1:28.9411:28.78922

Grid to Finish

Places gained or lost between the starting grid (after penalties) and the flag, for 18 of 18 classified drivers.

Biggest gains
Gabriel BortoletoP21 โ†’ P12+9
Alexander AlbonP15 โ†’ P10+5
Oscar PiastriP7 โ†’ P3+4
Biggest losses
Charles LeclercP3 โ†’ P8-5
Max VerstappenP2 โ†’ P5-3

Sprint Race

POSDriverTimeGapPts
1Lando Norris1755.045Leader+8
2Oscar Piastri1758.811+3.766+7
3Charles Leclerc1761.296+6.251+6
4George Russell1767.996+12.951+5
5Max Verstappen1768.684+13.639+4
6Kimi Antonelli1768.822+13.777 (incl. 5s penalty)+3
7Lewis Hamilton1776.710+21.665+2
8Pierre Gasly1785.570+30.525+1
9Isack Hadjar1790.391+35.346โ€”
10Franco Colapinto1792.015+36.970โ€”
11Esteban Ocon1812.017+56.972โ€”
12Oliver Bearman1812.410+57.365โ€”
13Carlos Sainz1813.549+58.504โ€”
14Liam Lawson1814.403+59.358โ€”
15Fernando Alonso1831.112+76.067โ€”
16Sergio Perez1831.736+76.691โ€”
17Lance Stroll1832.671+77.626โ€”
18Alexander Albon1843.218+88.173โ€”
19Valtteri Bottas1844.642+89.597โ€”
20Nico Hulkenbergโ€”DNSโ€”
21Arvid Lindbladโ€”DNSโ€”
22Gabriel Bortoletoโ€”DSQโ€”

Race Timeline

๐ŸšฆLAP 1Lights out โ€” 57 laps scheduled
๐ŸŽLAP 3Liam Lawson retires after just 6 laps, following an early retirement for Nico Hulkenberg.
๐ŸŽLAP 4Pierre Gasly and Isack Hadjar both retire within seconds of each other after just 4 laps.
๐Ÿ”งLAP 6First pit stop of the race: Max Verstappen switches to Hard
๐Ÿ†LAP 26Race winner Kimi Antonelli makes stop 1, fitting Hard
๐ŸŽLAP 35Lando Norris sets the fastest lap of the race in his pursuit of race leader Antonelli, but cannot find a way past.
๐Ÿ”งLAP 41Last pit stop of the race: Fernando Alonso switches to Soft
๐ŸŽLAP 57Post-race, Charles Leclerc is hit with a 20-second penalty for repeatedly leaving the track without justification, dropping him from sixth on the road to eighth.
๐ŸLAP 57Chequered flag โ€” Kimi Antonelli wins

Tyre Strategy

Every stint for the 18 classified drivers with recorded pit data (18 classified in total). Bar lengths are to scale with the 57-lap race distance.

P1Kimi Antonelli
M 26
H 31
P2Lando Norris
M 27
H 30
P3Oscar Piastri
M 28
H 29
P4George Russell
M 20
H 37
P5Max Verstappen
M
H 51
P6Lewis Hamilton
M 27
H 30
P7Franco Colapinto
M 31
H 26
P8Charles Leclerc
M 21
H 36
P9Carlos Sainz
M 28
H 29
P10Alexander Albon
M 27
H 30
P11Oliver Bearman
M 26
H 31
P12Gabriel Bortoleto
M 32
H 25
P13Esteban Ocon
M 31
H 26
P14Arvid Lindblad
M 28
H 29
P15Fernando Alonso
M 41
S 16
P16Sergio Perez
M 29
H 28
P17Lance Stroll
M 21
S 16
S 20
P18Valtteri Bottas
M
S 15
M 36
LAP 1LAP 29LAP 57
One-stop
16
Two-stop
2

Winner's strategy: Medium โ†’ Hard

Longest stint: Max Verstappen, 51 laps on Hard

Compound sequences used
Medium โ†’ Hard
15 driver(s) ยท best result P1
Medium โ†’ Soft
1 driver(s) ยท best result P15
Medium โ†’ Soft โ†’ Soft
1 driver(s) ยท best result P17
Medium โ†’ Soft โ†’ Medium
1 driver(s) ยท best result P18

Pit Stops & Neutralisations

First stops came between lap 6 and lap 41, with a median of lap 27.

Actual vs PITWALL Simulation

PITWALL model output ยท not official data

PITWALL replayed this race 40 times from the real starting grid, with all 18 finishers on the strategies they actually used. It then kept every rival's strategy fixed and tested alternative strategies for the winner, Kimi Antonelli.

StrategyStopsAvg finishWinRace time vs actual
ActualMHL261P1.288%โ€”
SML22SL382P1.0100%โˆ’2.6 s
MSL261P1.0100%โˆ’2.3 s
HSL321P1.0100%โˆ’2.2 s
MSL19SL382P1.0100%โˆ’2.1 s
SML261P1.0100%โˆ’2.0 s
SHL22SL412P1.0100%โˆ’1.8 s

In PITWALL's model, Soft โ†’ Medium โ†’ Soft would have been 2.6 s quicker than the strategy Kimi Antonelli actually used.

Model check: with everyone on their real strategy, the simulated finishing positions were on average 2.9 places away from the real result, and Kimi Antonelli won 88% of the simulated races.

Retired cars are left out of the replay. Safety Car and VSC periods use the simulator's default length, because the race data records only when they were called. Model replay-2, computed 2026-10-23. How the simulator works and its limits โ†’

Why They Lost

Strategy and race factors that shaped the result for drivers who finished behind Kimi Antonelli.

P17Lance StrollAston Martin
  • โ–ธMade 2 stops to the winner's 1, conceding track position on the extra in-lap and out-lap.
  • โ–ธPitted 5 laps earlier than Kimi Antonelli (lap 21 vs 26), exposing the next stint to more wear.
P18Valtteri BottasCadillac
  • โ–ธMade 2 stops to the winner's 1, conceding track position on the extra in-lap and out-lap.
  • โ–ธPitted 20 laps earlier than Kimi Antonelli (lap 6 vs 26), exposing the next stint to more wear.
P4George RussellMercedes
  • โ–ธPitted 6 laps earlier than Kimi Antonelli (lap 20 vs 26), exposing the next stint to more wear.
P5Max VerstappenRed Bull Racing
  • โ–ธPitted 20 laps earlier than Kimi Antonelli (lap 6 vs 26), exposing the next stint to more wear.
P7Franco ColapintoAlpine
  • โ–ธPitted 5 laps later than Kimi Antonelli (lap 31 vs 26), losing time on worn tyres before the stop.
P8Charles LeclercFerrari
  • โ–ธPitted 5 laps earlier than Kimi Antonelli (lap 21 vs 26), exposing the next stint to more wear.
  • โ–ธStarted P3 and finished 5 places lower.

Strategy Breakdown

Replay any strategy in the PITWALL simulator โ†’

POSDriverStrategyTimeGap
1
Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes
Mโ†’HL26
1:33:19.273+0.000โ–ถ Simulate
2
Lando Norris
McLaren
Mโ†’HL27
1:33:22.537+3.264โ–ถ Simulate
3
Oscar Piastri
McLaren
Mโ†’HL28
1:33:46.365+27.092โ–ถ Simulate
4
George Russell
Mercedes
Mโ†’HL20
1:34:02.324+43.051โ–ถ Simulate
5
Max Verstappen
Red Bull Racing
Mโ†’HL6
1:34:08.222+48.949 (incl. 5s penalty)โ–ถ Simulate
6
Lewis Hamilton
Ferrari
Mโ†’HL27
1:34:13.026+53.753โ–ถ Simulate
7
Franco Colapinto
Alpine
Mโ†’HL31
1:34:21.144+61.871โ–ถ Simulate
8
Charles Leclerc
Ferrari
Mโ†’HL21
1:34:23.518+64.245 (incl. 20s penalty; P6 on the road)โ–ถ Simulate
9
Carlos Sainz
Williams
Mโ†’HL28
1:34:41.345+82.072โ–ถ Simulate
10
Alexander Albon
Williams
Mโ†’HL27
1:34:50.245+90.972โ–ถ Simulate
11
Oliver Bearman
Haas
Mโ†’HL26
1:33:25.673+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
12
Gabriel Bortoleto
Audi
Mโ†’HL32
1:33:28.626+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
13
Esteban Ocon
Haas
Mโ†’HL31
1:33:33.146+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
14
Arvid Lindblad
Racing Bulls
Mโ†’HL28
1:34:04.054+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
15
Fernando Alonso
Aston Martin
Mโ†’SL41
1:34:34.237+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
16
Sergio Perez
Cadillac
Mโ†’HL29
1:34:36.786+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
17
Lance Stroll
Aston Martin
Mโ†’SL21โ†’SL37
1:34:41.904+1 lapโ–ถ Simulate
18
Valtteri Bottas
Cadillac
Mโ†’SL6โ†’ML21
1:34:27.528+2 lapsโ–ถ Simulate
19
Nico Hulkenberg
Audi
M
โ€”DNFโ€”
20
Liam Lawson
Racing Bulls
M
โ€”DNFโ€”
21
Pierre Gasly
Alpine
M
โ€”DNFโ€”
22
Isack Hadjar
Red Bull Racing
H
โ€”DNFโ€”

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