Kimi Antonelli claimed his third consecutive win of the season in a frenetic, incident-packed Miami Grand Prix. Chaos struck early as four cars retired within the first seven laps โ Hulkenberg, Lawson, and, within seconds of each other, Gasly and Hadjar. Lando Norris took the fight to Antonelli throughout, setting the fastest lap of the race, but could not find a way past, finishing 3.264 seconds behind with Oscar Piastri completing an all-Mercedes-McLaren podium lockout in third. George Russell took fourth, ahead of Max Verstappen โ who added a 5-second penalty for crossing the pit-exit white line โ and Lewis Hamilton. The race turned dramatic again for Ferrari: Charles Leclerc, running sixth on the road, was hit with a 20-second penalty (a drive-through converted post-race) for repeatedly leaving the track without justification, dropping him to eighth and promoting Franco Colapinto to seventh for Alpine.
Pit-lane loss, degradation and overtaking are PITWALL simulator inputs for this circuit, not official figures.
| POS | Driver | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Grid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 1:28.653 | 1:28.289 | 1:27.798 | 1 |
| 2 | Max Verstappen | 1:29.099 | 1:28.116 | 1:27.964 | 2 |
| 3 | Charles Leclerc | 1:28.938 | 1:28.315 | 1:28.143 | 3 |
| 4 | Lando Norris | 1:29.183 | 1:28.920 | 1:28.183 | 4 |
| 5 | George Russell | 1:29.492 | 1:28.477 | 1:28.197 | 5 |
| 6 | Lewis Hamilton | 1:29.483 | 1:28.477 | 1:28.319 | 6 |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri | 1:29.920 | 1:28.332 | 1:28.500 | 7 |
| 8 | Franco Colapinto | 1:29.584 | 1:28.975 | 1:28.762 | 8 |
| 9 | Pierre Gasly | 1:29.914 | 1:29.070 | 1:28.810 | 9 |
| 10 | Nico Hulkenberg | 1:29.645 | 1:29.439 | โ | 10 |
| 11 | Liam Lawson | 1:29.595 | 1:29.499 | โ | 11 |
| 12 | Oliver Bearman | 1:29.340 | 1:29.567 | โ | 12 |
| 13 | Carlos Sainz | 1:29.540 | 1:29.568 | โ | 13 |
| 14 | Esteban Ocon | 1:29.838 | 1:29.772 | โ | 14 |
| 15 | Alexander Albon | 1:29.720 | 1:29.946 | โ | 15 |
| 16 | Arvid Lindblad | 1:30.133 | โ | โ | 16 |
| 17 | Fernando Alonso | 1:31.098 | โ | โ | 17 |
| 18 | Lance Stroll | 1:31.164 | โ | โ | 18 |
| 19 | Valtteri Bottas | 1:31.629 | โ | โ | 19 |
| 20 | Sergio Perez | 1:31.967 | โ | โ | 20 |
| 21 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 1:33.737 | โ | โ | 21 |
| 22 | Isack Hadjar | โ | 1:28.941 | 1:28.789 | 22 |
Places gained or lost between the starting grid (after penalties) and the flag, for 18 of 18 classified drivers.
| POS | Driver | Time | Gap | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Norris | 1755.045 | Leader | +8 |
| 2 | Oscar Piastri | 1758.811 | +3.766 | +7 |
| 3 | Charles Leclerc | 1761.296 | +6.251 | +6 |
| 4 | George Russell | 1767.996 | +12.951 | +5 |
| 5 | Max Verstappen | 1768.684 | +13.639 | +4 |
| 6 | Kimi Antonelli | 1768.822 | +13.777 (incl. 5s penalty) | +3 |
| 7 | Lewis Hamilton | 1776.710 | +21.665 | +2 |
| 8 | Pierre Gasly | 1785.570 | +30.525 | +1 |
| 9 | Isack Hadjar | 1790.391 | +35.346 | โ |
| 10 | Franco Colapinto | 1792.015 | +36.970 | โ |
| 11 | Esteban Ocon | 1812.017 | +56.972 | โ |
| 12 | Oliver Bearman | 1812.410 | +57.365 | โ |
| 13 | Carlos Sainz | 1813.549 | +58.504 | โ |
| 14 | Liam Lawson | 1814.403 | +59.358 | โ |
| 15 | Fernando Alonso | 1831.112 | +76.067 | โ |
| 16 | Sergio Perez | 1831.736 | +76.691 | โ |
| 17 | Lance Stroll | 1832.671 | +77.626 | โ |
| 18 | Alexander Albon | 1843.218 | +88.173 | โ |
| 19 | Valtteri Bottas | 1844.642 | +89.597 | โ |
| 20 | Nico Hulkenberg | โ | DNS | โ |
| 21 | Arvid Lindblad | โ | DNS | โ |
| 22 | Gabriel Bortoleto | โ | DSQ | โ |
Every stint for the 18 classified drivers with recorded pit data (18 classified in total). Bar lengths are to scale with the 57-lap race distance.
Winner's strategy: Medium โ Hard
Longest stint: Max Verstappen, 51 laps on Hard
First stops came between lap 6 and lap 41, with a median of lap 27.
PITWALL replayed this race 40 times from the real starting grid, with all 18 finishers on the strategies they actually used. It then kept every rival's strategy fixed and tested alternative strategies for the winner, Kimi Antonelli.
| Strategy | Stops | Avg finish | Win | Race time vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActualMHL26 | 1 | P1.2 | 88% | โ |
| SML22SL38 | 2 | P1.0 | 100% | โ2.6 s |
| MSL26 | 1 | P1.0 | 100% | โ2.3 s |
| HSL32 | 1 | P1.0 | 100% | โ2.2 s |
| MSL19SL38 | 2 | P1.0 | 100% | โ2.1 s |
| SML26 | 1 | P1.0 | 100% | โ2.0 s |
| SHL22SL41 | 2 | P1.0 | 100% | โ1.8 s |
In PITWALL's model, Soft โ Medium โ Soft would have been 2.6 s quicker than the strategy Kimi Antonelli actually used.
Model check: with everyone on their real strategy, the simulated finishing positions were on average 2.9 places away from the real result, and Kimi Antonelli won 88% of the simulated races.
Retired cars are left out of the replay. Safety Car and VSC periods use the simulator's default length, because the race data records only when they were called. Model replay-2, computed 2026-10-23. How the simulator works and its limits โ
Strategy and race factors that shaped the result for drivers who finished behind Kimi Antonelli.
Replay any strategy in the PITWALL simulator โ
| POS | Driver | Strategy | Time | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli Mercedes | MโHL26 | 1:33:19.273 | +0.000 | โถ Simulate |
| 2 | Lando Norris McLaren | MโHL27 | 1:33:22.537 | +3.264 | โถ Simulate |
| 3 | Oscar Piastri McLaren | MโHL28 | 1:33:46.365 | +27.092 | โถ Simulate |
| 4 | George Russell Mercedes | MโHL20 | 1:34:02.324 | +43.051 | โถ Simulate |
| 5 | Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing | MโHL6 | 1:34:08.222 | +48.949 (incl. 5s penalty) | โถ Simulate |
| 6 | Lewis Hamilton Ferrari | MโHL27 | 1:34:13.026 | +53.753 | โถ Simulate |
| 7 | Franco Colapinto Alpine | MโHL31 | 1:34:21.144 | +61.871 | โถ Simulate |
| 8 | Charles Leclerc Ferrari | MโHL21 | 1:34:23.518 | +64.245 (incl. 20s penalty; P6 on the road) | โถ Simulate |
| 9 | Carlos Sainz Williams | MโHL28 | 1:34:41.345 | +82.072 | โถ Simulate |
| 10 | Alexander Albon Williams | MโHL27 | 1:34:50.245 | +90.972 | โถ Simulate |
| 11 | Oliver Bearman Haas | MโHL26 | 1:33:25.673 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 12 | Gabriel Bortoleto Audi | MโHL32 | 1:33:28.626 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 13 | Esteban Ocon Haas | MโHL31 | 1:33:33.146 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 14 | Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls | MโHL28 | 1:34:04.054 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 15 | Fernando Alonso Aston Martin | MโSL41 | 1:34:34.237 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 16 | Sergio Perez Cadillac | MโHL29 | 1:34:36.786 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 17 | Lance Stroll Aston Martin | MโSL21โSL37 | 1:34:41.904 | +1 lap | โถ Simulate |
| 18 | Valtteri Bottas Cadillac | MโSL6โML21 | 1:34:27.528 | +2 laps | โถ Simulate |
| 19 | Nico Hulkenberg Audi | M | โ | DNF | โ |
| 20 | Liam Lawson Racing Bulls | M | โ | DNF | โ |
| 21 | Pierre Gasly Alpine | M | โ | DNF | โ |
| 22 | Isack Hadjar Red Bull Racing | H | โ | DNF | โ |