Kimi Antonelli won the first Formula 1 race at Madrid's new Madring circuit, benefiting from a perfectly-timed Virtual Safety Car that Lando Norris missed by two seconds. Norris had built a 6-second lead from pole before Lance Stroll's Lap 14 stoppage triggered the VSC; Antonelli, Verstappen and Russell all pitted for free, while Norris had already passed the pit entry and had to make a green-flag stop that was further ruined by a seven-second wheel-gun delay. Charles Leclerc, started on hards, led for over 30 laps by gambling on a second interruption that never arrived, before finally pitting for softs on Lap 49 and dropping to fourth. Verstappen held off a fast-closing Norris in the final laps to take second, though a late track-limits moment between the two was still under review after the chequered flag. Lewis Hamilton failed to score for the first time all season, retiring early with a brake problem; Stroll, Sainz and Perez also failed to finish.
Pit-lane loss, degradation and overtaking are PITWALL simulator inputs for this circuit, not official figures.
| POS | Driver | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Grid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lando Norris | 1:33.469 | 1:32.873 | 1:31.824 | 1 |
| 2 | Kimi Antonelli | 1:33.267 | 1:32.591 | 1:31.835 | 2 |
| 3 | Max Verstappen | 1:33.381 | 1:32.431 | 1:31.964 | 3 |
| 4 | Lewis Hamilton | 1:33.531 | 1:32.710 | 1:32.013 | 4 |
| 5 | Charles Leclerc | 1:33.532 | 1:32.755 | 1:32.019 | 5 |
| 6 | George Russell | 1:33.211 | 1:32.850 | 1:32.149 | 6 |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri | 1:33.829 | 1:33.204 | 1:32.294 | 7 |
| 8 | Liam Lawson | 1:33.310 | 1:32.780 | 1:32.316 | 8 |
| 9 | Franco Colapinto | 1:33.963 | 1:33.038 | 1:32.903 | 9 |
| 10 | Arvid Lindblad | 1:34.340 | 1:33.204 | 1:33.041 | 10 |
| 11 | Nico Hulkenberg | 1:34.417 | 1:33.223 | โ | 11 |
| 12 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 1:33.986 | 1:33.388 | โ | 12 |
| 13 | Esteban Ocon | 1:34.667 | 1:33.667 | โ | 13 |
| 14 | Pierre Gasly | 1:34.246 | 1:33.753 | โ | 14 |
| 15 | Yuki Tsunoda | 1:34.311 | 1:34.084 | โ | 15 |
| 16 | Alexander Albon | 1:35.307 | 1:35.532 | โ | 16 |
| 17 | Carlos Sainz | 1:35.312 | โ | โ | 20(+3 Penalty) |
| 18 | Fernando Alonso | 1:35.388 | โ | โ | 17 |
| 19 | Sergio Perez | 1:35.913 | โ | โ | 18 |
| 20 | Valtteri Bottas | 1:38.011 | โ | โ | 19 |
| 21 | Lance Stroll | โ | โ | โ | 21(+40 Penalty) |
| 22 | Oliver Bearman | โ | โ | โ | 22 |
Places gained or lost between the starting grid (after penalties) and the flag, for 18 of 18 classified drivers.
Every stint for the 18 classified drivers with recorded pit data (18 classified in total). Bar lengths are to scale with the 57-lap race distance.
Winner's strategy: Medium โ Hard
Longest stint: Pierre Gasly, 55 laps on Hard
First stops came between lap 14 and lap 55, with a median of lap 15.
Stops made within 2 laps of a Safety Car or VSC being called. The race data records when a neutralisation started, not when it ended.
PITWALL replayed this race 40 times from the real starting grid, with all 18 finishers on the strategies they actually used. It then kept every rival's strategy fixed and tested alternative strategies for the winner, Kimi Antonelli.
Virtual Safety Car called on lap 14
| Strategy | Stops | Avg finish | Win | Race time vs actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActualMHL14 | 1 | P2.5 | 35% | โ |
| MSL12 | 1 | P1.0 | 100% | โ7.1 s |
| HSL12 | 1 | P1.0 | 100% | โ6.9 s |
| SML12 | 1 | P1.4 | 60% | โ4.6 s |
| MSL16SL38 | 2 | P10.2 | 0% | +18.5 s |
| MSL16ML38 | 2 | P11.1 | 0% | +20.6 s |
| MML16SL35 | 2 | P11.1 | 0% | +20.9 s |
In PITWALL's model, Medium โ Soft would have been 7.1 s quicker than the strategy Kimi Antonelli actually used.
Model check: with everyone on their real strategy, the simulated finishing positions were on average 2.5 places away from the real result, and Kimi Antonelli won 35% of the simulated races.
Retired cars are left out of the replay. Safety Car and VSC periods use the simulator's default length, because the race data records only when they were called. Model replay-2, computed 2026-10-23. How the simulator works and its limits โ
Strategy and race factors that shaped the result for drivers who finished behind Kimi Antonelli.
Replay any strategy in the PITWALL simulator โ
| POS | Driver | Strategy | Time | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli Mercedes | MโHL14 | 1:34:23.754 | Leader | โถ Simulate |
| 2 | Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing | SโHL14 | 1:34:28.105 | +4.351 | โถ Simulate |
| 3 | Lando Norris McLaren | MโHL15 | 1:34:28.843 | +5.089 | โถ Simulate |
| 4 | Charles Leclerc Ferrari | HโSL48 | 1:34:52.870 | +29.116 | โถ Simulate |
| 5 | George Russell Mercedes | HโML14โHL28 | 1:34:53.583 | +29.829 | โถ Simulate |
| 6 | Liam Lawson Red Bull Racing | HโML44 | 1:35:50.500 | +86.746 | โถ Simulate |
| 7 | Franco Colapinto Alpine | MโHL14 | 1:35:58.035 | +94.281 | โถ Simulate |
| 8 | Oscar Piastri McLaren | HโML42 | 1:35:59.593 | +95.839 | โถ Simulate |
| 9 | Arvid Lindblad Racing Bulls | MโHL14 | 1:36:00.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 10 | Nico Hulkenberg Audi | SโHL14 | 1:36:01.300 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 11 | Esteban Ocon Haas | MโHL14 | 1:36:03.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 12 | Pierre Gasly Alpine | HโSL55 | 1:36:05.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 13 | Gabriel Bortoleto Audi | HโSL47 | 1:36:07.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 14 | Yuki Tsunoda Racing Bulls | HโML36 | 1:36:09.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 15 | Alexander Albon Williams | MโHL14 | 1:36:11.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 16 | Oliver Bearman Haas | HโML33โHL43 | 1:36:13.500 | +1 Lap | โถ Simulate |
| 17 | Fernando Alonso Aston Martin | HโSL14โHL37 | 1:37:35.750 | +2 Laps | โถ Simulate |
| 18 | Valtteri Bottas Cadillac | HโHL29โSL43 | 1:39:11.750 | +3 Laps | โถ Simulate |
| 19 | Carlos Sainz Williams | HโML23โHL31 | โ | DNF | โ |
| 20 | Sergio Perez Cadillac | MโHL14 | โ | DNF | โ |
| 21 | Lance Stroll Aston Martin | H | โ | DNF | โ |
| 22 | Lewis Hamilton Ferrari | S | โ | DNF | โ |